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كودلو: أتوقع ان يتوقف الاحتياطي الفيدرالي "لفترة طويلة" عن رفع الفائدة بعد ديسمبر

By كانون1/ديسمبر 07, 2018 636

قال كبير المستشارين الاقتصاديين للرئيس دونالد ترامب إنه يتوقع ان يتوقف الاحتياطي الفيدرالي عن زيادات أسعار الفائدة "لوقت طويل" بعد زيادة محتملة في وقت لاحق من هذا الشهر.

وبينما يستعد أعضاء لجنة السياسة النقدية بالاحتياطي الفيدرالي للاجتماع يومي 18 و19 ديسمبر، قال لاري كودلو، مدير المجلس الاقتصادي الوطني التابع للبيت الأبيض، خلال مقابلة مع تلفزيون بلومبرج "أعتقد يشيرون إنهم ربما سيفعلون شيئا في وقت لاحق من هذا الشهر، ربما، لكن هذا الأمر قد لا يتكرر لفترة طويلة". "وأود الإضافة إلى ذلك، أن رئيسي ترامب يتفق كثيرا جدا من هذا الفكر".

ورفع الاحتياطي الفيدرالي تكاليف الإقتراض ثماني مرات منذ ديسمبر 2015 في محاولة لمنع حدوث نمو تضخمي وهو يقترب من وضع تكون فيه السياسة النقدية لا تحفز أو تبطيء النمو. وبما ان ما يعرف "بالمستوى المحايد" بات وشيكا، يحذر مسؤولون بالاحتياطي الفيدرالي من ان مزيدا من الزيادات قد تكون تدريجية وتتوقف على البيانات الاقتصادية القادمة.

ويشكو ترامب على مدى أشهر بشأن التشديد النقدي وأعرب عن ندمه إنه رشح رئيس الاحتياطي الفيدرالي جيروم باويل، الذي حل بديلا عن جانيت يلين في فبراير. وفي خطاب ألقاه في وقت متأخر يوم الخميس، وصف باويل سوق العمل "بالقوية جدا" وقال إن الاقتصاد "يؤدي بشكل جيد جدا".

وتتماشى أراء كودلو مع إشارات في الأسواق المالية، التي فيها تداولات العقود الاجلة للأموال الاتحادية تظهر ان توقعات زيادات أسعار الفائدة في 2019 انخفضت إلى أقل من زيادة واحدة. وفي المقابلة، قال كودلو إن مسؤولي الاحتياطي الفيدرالي يبدو أنهم يقولون ان الولايات المتحدة لديها نمو اقتصادي قوي ليس تضخميا.

هيثم الجندى

خبرة أكثر من 15 عام في التحليل الأساسي (الإخباري والاقتصادي) لأسواق المال العالمية ومتابعة تطورات الاقتصاد العالمي بالإضافة إلى قرارات البنوك المركزية 

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