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الذهب مستقر قرب أعلى مستوى في 6 أشهر بفعل ضعف الدولار وتقلبات الأسهم

By كانون1/ديسمبر 28, 2018 1598

إستقرت أسعار الذهب قرب أعلى مستوياتها في ستة أشهر يوم الجمعة بدعم من ضعف الدولار ومخاوف حول تباطؤ النمو الاقتصادي وتقلبات حادة في أسواق الأسهم مما يضع المعدن في طريقه نحو ثاني اسبوع على التوالي من المكاسب.

وصعد الذهب في المعاملات الفورية 0.3% إلى 1279.06 دولار للاوقية في الساعة 1652 بتوقيت جرينتش، وارتفع 1.8% حتى الأن هذا الأسبوع، بحسب رويترز.

وفي وقت سابق من الجلسة بلغ المعدن 1282.09 دولار وهو أعلى مستوياته منذ 19 يونيو. وإستقرت العقود الاجلة الأمريكية عند 1281.90 دولار للاوقية.

وقال والتر بيهويتش، نائب الرئيس التنفيذي للخدمات الاستثمارية بشركة ديلون جيدج ميتالز، "ضعف الدولاريعزز صعود الذهب كما تثير التقلبات في اسواق الأسهم قلق المستثمرين حول التوقعات في 2019، الذي يدفع أيضا الناس للإقبال على الذهب".

"لكن الأسعار غير قادرة على تعزيز المكاسب حيث تشح السيولة في الاسواق ولا يريد مستثمرون كثيرون تكوين مراكز قبل عطلة نهاية أسبوع طويلة".

وانخفض مؤشر الدولار، الذي يقيس قيمة العملة الامريكية مقابل ست عملات رئيسية، 0.1% مما يزيد جاذبية الذهب بجعله أرخص على حائزي العملات الاخرى.

وشهدت الأسهم تقلبات حادة خلال الاسبوع الأخير من 2018 ليسجل مؤشر تقلبات السوق، الذي يعرف بمؤشر الخوف الرئيسي لوول ستريت، أعلى مستوياته منذ أوائل فبراير قبل ان يتراجع بشكل طفيف.

وتتوقع الأسواق المالية أن يتباطأ نمو الاقتصاد الأمريكي العام القادم بسبب ارتفاع أسعار الفائدة. وسجل مؤشر يقيس ثقة المستهلكين الأمريكيين أكبر انخفاض له في أكثر من ثلاث سنوات خلال ديسمبر مما يؤكد على هذا الاحتمال.

وقال إليا سبيفاك، خبير العملات لدى ديلي اف اكس، إن تدهور توقعات نمو الاقتصاد العالمي والحرب التجارية المحتدمة بين الولايات المتحدة والصين والغموض المتعلق بخروج بريطانيا من الاتحاد الأوروبي ربما يثير مجددا عزوف عن المخاطر ويدعم أسعار الذهب في 2019.

هيثم الجندى

خبرة أكثر من 15 عام في التحليل الأساسي (الإخباري والاقتصادي) لأسواق المال العالمية ومتابعة تطورات الاقتصاد العالمي بالإضافة إلى قرارات البنوك المركزية 

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